Medical Statistics Weigh Against Internet Rumor That Palin’s Fifth Child Isn’t Hers

by on August 31, 2008 8

There are accusations across the leftwing blogosphere, including at Liberal White Boy and Dailykos, that Sarah Palin's fifth child, Trig, her Down's Syndrome baby, is actually her daughter's. The main evidence is that Palin didn't look pregnant when she said she was 6 or 7 months pregnant last winter, and that her daughter Bristol was out of school for several months with mono. I was at a party tonight where a guy in developmental biology pooh-poohed the rumors on statistical grounds, saying that the odds of a 44-year-old woman having a Down's baby are remarkably high, while the odds of a teenager having a Down's child are infinitesimal. Just throwing that in. (Commenter Gannon here makes the same point.)

About Philip Weiss

Philip Weiss is Founder and Co-Editor of Mondoweiss.net.
Posted in Beyondoweiss, US Politics

{ 8 comments... read them below or add one }

  1. Joachim Martillo says:
    September 1, 2008 at 2:36 pm

    People are forgetting that Rubella also causes Down's syndrome without much correlation to the age of the mother.

    In any case Bristol Palin definitely engages in pre-marital sexual intercourse, and there is no reason to believe that she has only began to do so recently.

    Of course, getting pregnant in March after giving birth in late December or early January is unusual but not impossible if Bristol did not nurse, for her menstrual cycle could have reestablished itself in late January or early February. In truth, she could have become pregnant before her first post-partum menses.

  2. Joachim Martillo says:
    September 1, 2008 at 3:10 pm

    Oh well, I misread the date. I thought the 6-7 month picture was from early November. Apparently, Bristol could not be the mother if she is now 5 months pregnant.

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  8. futate01 says:
    June 16, 2009 at 4:04 am

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