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All eyes on Moscow

2012 06 18T051337Z 1 CBRE85H0EIZ00 RTROPTP 2 INTERNATIONAL US G20 OBAMA PUTIN
U.S. President Barack Obama waves from his car after landing at the airport in Los Cabos June 17, 2012. REUTERS/Henry Romero

Big day today. While Obama and Putin are meeting across the globe at the Group of 20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, both are well aware there’s a showdown going on in Moscow. With American and Russian positions diverging on multiple fronts (missile defense, Syria) the climate heading into the P5+1 meeting in Moscow between Iran and world powers is fraught with quandary.

The US will not be offering any option of easing the harsh sanctions. Nope, just like in Baghdad— no proposals to ease the sanctions will be presented. Yes that’s a harsh prediction, but so far those are the rumors.

AP:

While not budging on lifting existing sanctions or those already decided upon, diplomats familiar with the talks told The Associated Press the six are also prepared to guarantee that no new U.N. penalties will be enacted if Tehran shows enough compromise. The diplomats demanded anonymity because that possible offer has not yet been formally made.

For Iran, the main demand is international recognition of its right to enrich and related issues. Although it is under U.N. Security Council sanctions for refusing to stop that activity because of concerns it could use it to arm nuclear missiles, Tehran insists it has a right to do so to for its stated goal of creating reactor fuel and medical isotopes.

“No new U.N. penalties will be enacted if Tehran shows enough compromise.” Where is the compromise if the offer to ease the sanctions is not on the table?

That sounds more like a demand for submission. Does this mean the UN security council will adopt the US version of harsher sanctions?

In Baghdad, Iran expressed the hope that its proposals would be met with the principle of reciprocity: if they agreed to limit enrichment, the sanctions would be eased. Talib Mahdi, a member of the Iranian delegation in Baghdad stated Iran would accept a proposal limiting enrichment to 5% if the sanctions were eased. But Iran’s bottom line is recognition of a right to enrichment, and they are not even interested in discussing further rounds of negotiations without this recognition.

Naharnet:

A member of Iran’s team engaging in the new round of negotiations said Monday the talks are doomed if his country’s “right” to uranium enrichment is not recognized.

“If this demand isn’t recognized, the negotiations are certainly headed for failure,” the official said, according to state news agency IRNA, which did not identify him.

“If our demand on the acceptance of the right to enrichment is not recognized, we are not afraid of the talks failing,” he added.

…..

“As long as there is no agreement on that, we don’t want to talk about any future negotiating rounds,” he said.

 

Russia called for an immediate easing of the sanctions in preparation for the Moscow talks and has repeatedly denounced further restrictions by the US and the EU aimed at ratcheting up existing UN sanctions.

In March feathers were ruffled when Obama was overheard telling Russian leader Dmitry Medvedev to give US ‘space’ on the nuclear issue. It isn’t Russia he needs to give him space. It’s Israel, the lobby and US congress squeezing him. The pressure on Obama keeps escalating severely limiting any room for negotiation.

Xinhua

MOSCOW, June 17 (Xinhua) — Potential U.S.sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program will “deal a blow” to Russian-U.S. relations, a senior Russian official said Sunday, presuming a hard-line stance before the long-waited meeting of the heads of the two states.

Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov told reporters that U.S. sanctions on Iran would “run against international law and affect third countries.”

Moscow could not accept if Russian firms and banks become potential victims of such unilateral actions from the U.S., Ushakov warned.

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Good coverge annie.

And as for this quote…
“Moscow could not accept if Russian firms and banks become potential victims of such unilateral actions from the U.S., Ushakov warned.”

I keep saying and saying the US is gonna have it’s lunch eaten eventually if it keeps demanding and pushing other countries into actions that harm their own economy and interest Pariculary when they understand it’s not even in the US real interest.
They might actually go along with it if they believed it really did threaten the world’s super cop that a lot of them turned over world policing responsibility to because they don’t want to or can’t assume that role themselves…..but for Israel? nope, they see it for what it is.

You know it’s doubly insane for the US to be fixated on Iran to the exclusion of almost everything else, couldn’t be a worse time global economy wise with so many countries hanging by their fingernails..Greece, Spain… the euro problems…..one slip and we have a global depression.

I thought the “space” was about missile defense. Pretty sure it was about missile defense.

At issue here is whether the US can successfully bully Russia, China and Iran. The US are telling China that they must cut their own throats by limiting oil imports from Iran while giving their friends a pass, I’m sure the Chinese will tell them where to get off, US hubris knows no bounds,the US bottom line of no enrichment at all, is of course a non starter, so it does not look good for a negotiated settlement, unless Obama can spin the negotiations past November. In the event talks do not succeed J Petras has an excellent article on his site here.. http://petras.lahaine.org/?p=1894