From a reliable source, none of this info confirmed:
An assistant to Obama’s foreign policy adviser Samantha Power told a delegation that Obama will be headed over to Israel, and one other country in the region to be decided. Dates not identified.
Update: Peter Beinart says it’s not true, Obama has no travel plans. We’ll keep you posted.
huge news, if true..way to break it on mondoweiss.
”Obama will be headed over to Israel, and one other country in the region to be decided.”
Am I the only one who finds this sentence a bit funny? It’s like they’re saying, ‘Israel is the essential country, but all those Aye-rab countries are interchangeable. One set of towelheads is as good as another’.
I strongly suspect the ‘other country’ will be either Egypt or Saudi Arabia, probably the former.
Yeah, it occurred to me too that it might be Qatar. It’ll certainly be one of the ‘moderate Arab states’, that’s for sure. Not sure if Abdullah would want to be seen hosting Obama right now, given the recent upheaval in Jordan.
Visit to Israel and ‘whoever” huh?
Maybe it’s about Iran or maybe about both Iran and Palestine, which if it’s about both he will be visiting Saudi.
If Walt is accurate and he probably is Saudi is in a nice little trap of their own. Blowing up Iran might keep their prices high so they can keep their street quiet but whose to say Saudi and some other oilies won’t be sabotaged also…if they can’t ship it out doesn’t matter what the price is.
http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/12/05/oil_iran_and_stability_in_the_gulf
Oil, Iran, and stability in the Gulf: Why the Gulf states want to keep Iran in a box
Posted By Stephen M. Walt
We are often told that Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are deeply worried about Iran, and eager for the United States to take care of the problem. This is usually framed as a reflection of the Sunni-Shiite divide, and linked to concerns about Iranian subversion, the role of Hezbollah, and of course the omnipresent fretting about Iran’s nuclear energy program.
I have heard senior Saudi officials voice such worries on more than one occasion, and I don’t doubt that their fears are sincere. But there may be another motive at work here, and Americans would do well to keep that possibility in mind.
That motive is the Gulf states’ interest in keeping oil prices high enough to balance their own budgets, in a period where heightened social spending and other measures are being used to insulate these regimes from the impact of the Arab Spring. According to the IMF, these states need crude prices to remain upwards of $80 a barrel in order to keep their fiscal house in order.
Which in turn means that Saudi Arabia et al also have an interest in keeping Iran in the doghouse, so that Iran can’t attract foreign companies to refurbish and expand its oil and gas fields and so that it has even more trouble marketing its petroleum on global markets. If UN and other sanctions were lifted and energy companies could operate freely in Iran, its oil and gas production would boom, overall supplies would increase, and the global price would drop.
Not only might this new wealth make Iran a more formidable power in the Gulf region–as it was under the Shah — but lower oil and gas prices would make it much harder for Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states to stave off demands for political reform through social spending. Saudi Arabia could cut production to try to keep prices up, but that would still mean lower overall revenues and a budget shortfall.
So when you hear people telling you how worried the Gulf states are about Iran, and how they support our efforts to keep tightening the screws, remember that it’s not just about geopolitics, or the historical divide between Sunnis and Shiites or between Arabs and Persians. It’s also about enabling certain ruling families to keep writing checks. Keep that in mind the next time you fill your gas tank or pay your home heating bill, or the next time somebody tells you the United States ought to think seriously about a preemptive war. ”
I think Egypt must be the Arab country that Obama considers it most important to visit. Perhaps the hedging is because arrangements for the visit have not yet been agreed with the Morsi government.