Phil’s analysis and opinion dovetail with mine to a point. Keeping powerful allies like the lobby and Adelson in his corner is strong calculus in politics where money and power are major calculations. My best GUESS is Trump is a master manipulator and is perfectly capable of turning on anyone. And he knows they can turn on him. As he said, “Jews always flip” and as we know, so can he. I’ll venture he knows well, and factored in,that Israelis have been master manipulators of American Presidents. https://consortiumnews.com/2015/11/09/how-israel-out-foxed-us-presidents-4/
I am aware most observers do not agree Trump’s motive is resolving the Question of Palestine. I reason his superego, and focus on America First, want’s to achieve what no other President has, even though all have tried. Note how they have ALL put pro-Israel people in key positions, ie. Dennis Ross. Kissing up has been the political approach forever now.
I see him giving one present after another to Israel to ingratiate himself and to make it more difficult to rebuke him when the crunch time comes. Note the leaked document to Yisrael Hayom said he was prepared to cut all aid to Israel. Read that again!
Knowing his decision to move the embassy, recognizing Jewish rights in Jerusalem, something most recognize as a given in any conceivable agreement, would stir the pot. He said, “In making these announcements, I also want to make one point very clear: This decision is not intended, in any way, to reflect a departure from our strong commitment to facilitate a lasting peace agreement. We want an agreement that is a great deal for the Israelis and a great deal for the Palestinians. We are not taking a position of any final status issues, including the specific boundaries of the Israeli sovereignty in Jerusalem, or the resolution of contested borders. Those questions are up to the parties involved.”
Unfortunately, Palestinians are so overwhelmed with their victimhood and ignorant of American politics, they couldn’t fathom the bigger picture and went ballistic, possibly scuttling the entire agreement. Without their engagement, a deal cannot be made and Trump has to keep kissing up.
I reason his take on Iran was ingratiating himself and positioning himself to not only achieve the “Deal of the Century” but peace in the ME, an objective he set for his second term, making him the greatest of all time. My prediction is after he holds talks with Iran, he comes away saying, “We can work together.” Thanks to Abbas, this is now less likely and now war more so.
I maintain Trump is not a warmonger, but he keeps warmongers around him to purchase protection from Adelson, Netanyahu and the Deep State. North Korea is a model to watch. Consider we are not at war with Iran or Venezuela.