You make a interesting and persuasive argument as to why the era of Netanyahu must come to an end. Yet I can think of a few significant issues that might preclude your
reasoned scenario from coming into fruition as you believe it will.
First: I don’t believe the end of Netanyahu will mark the end of AIPAC’s influence as the tip of the spear of the Israel Lobby. While it is true that AIPAC identifies more closely with Likudnik thinking, it is ultimately a bipartisan entity. Both labor and likud fully support the work of AIPAC in the United States even as AIPAC itself refuses to acknowledge that settlements are a key obstacle to Palestinian statehood, fail to denounce the settlement enterprise as illegal under international law, is highly unlikely to call for a removal of all settlements or a full withdrawal of the Israeli military from the West Bank and is dead set against the Right of Return. Moreover, the lobby’s money still remains extremely powerful in shaping the political discourse and legislative agenda of elected officials regarding Israel.
Second: The coming battle between liberal Zionists and anti-Zionists in the public sphere may not get the exposure it needs to seep into mainstream political discourse. Even now, whatever “debate” is allowed in the mainstream media on Israel is carefully circumscribed to AIPAC, a “mainstream” organization and J Street, which is often portrayed as “leftist” even though J Street is a center-right organization and differs from AIPC more in terms of style than substance, often ending up espousing positions that sound very much like AIPAC-lite. The Zionist gatekeepers in the MSM do a very efficient job of keeping the debate, when allowed, confined to the positions ascribed to those two “extremes”.
Third: the current framework for negotiations to “end” the Occupation is based around the so-called Kerry Initiative, which basically allows for the formation of a truncated, bantustanized political entity that would amount to, in the words of Shlomo Ben Ami, a “state minus”. The Israeli military would still have a detrimental presence in the PTs for “security purposes”, most of the settlers would remain in place and the issue of ROR will be killed for good. As sad as it sounds, the Palestinian Authority, which has become the de facto manager of the Occupation, is likely to go along with such a plan, despite the the fact that it would essentially be a capitulation of quintessential Palestinian rights under international law. I doubt such an outcome would be acceptable over the long term to those grassroots Palestinian organizations, movements and individuals that have worked and struggled so hard during all these years to bring a just solution to the conflict. To see the corrupt, opportunistic leadership of the Palestinian Authority be bribed or cowed into accepting this shameful deal would be a profound insult and disappointment to all those people whose blood, sweat and tears that have gone into making BDS an internationally potent movement against the occupation, oppression and dispossession of the Palestinians.
In short, like many folks here in this site, I do believe that the Netanyahu/Likud/Bennet/Lieberman axis is the greatest unifying and energizing factor for the anti apartheid, anti-Zionist, pro-equality, pro-human rights movement to have even more traction and exert even more pressure to bring about meaningful change in Israel/Palestine. I am doubtful that another round of labor/liberal Zionism will amount to any significant movement towards a just peace.