Trump’s neutrality comment was the one he immediately stepped back from. He’s beholden to very few people because of the lack of support he got from his party but the people he is beholden to are ones you don’t want to know – people like Jared Kushner and Sheldon Adelson. At worst he will be actively promoting Israeli annexation of the WB, at best he’ll simply be indifferent to it. We need to look at this with open eyes, Annie. Thinking he’ll get into office and become a champion for the Palestinians is even more wishful thinking than that he’ll get into office and not overturn ACA.
“f he won’t be able to hold off forever, what do you think clinton would do differently? delay the inevitable? push another decade of “peace” talks while israel keeps tightening the noose around what’s left of palestine?”
Yes – I think there will be a material difference between being a weight on full speed ahead annexation (Hillary at least paid lip service to no new settlements) and actually telling them to go ahead. You don’t understand yet. Neither choice was great but the status quo, as bad as you felt it was, is a million times better than what is to come. What we’ve witnessed over the last few decades is – believe it or not – Israeli restraint. What stands between the decimation of Palestine is – horrifyingly – Bibi Netanyahu. In the past he could hold back Bennett types in his coalition by saying that their patrons in the US would not accept unbridled settlement. Currently settlement is around 2%. Without any bulwark to stop it we could be seeing thousands and thousands of new housing tenders – we could be looking at 20% settlement of the WB.
“you think europe will do nothing. they’ll be no growth of bds that could impact them. nothing.”
Yes, this is more wishful thinking. Theresa May isn’t going to stop them. When Marine Le Pen becomes PM next year she certainly won’t stop them. Europe is in the middle of a major right-wing crisis of its own. There is an enormous void in international moral legitimacy. I’m not even sure there will be a UN in three years. Republicans have been dying to cut off its funding and kick it out of the States.
You are both very pessimistic (about Israel’s actions) and overly optimistic (about the world’s ability to hold them back). You need to flip that around. Like I said – small-c conservative Bibi is your best hope for survival now. He doesn’t want major shifts – he wants to slow play and see how things work out. If the more radical elements of his coalition push him to agree to Trump’s permission to annex the WB he is going to have trouble fighting back. Who else in Israel will stop the settlement project? Herzog? Google up what he had to say about Trump’s election. There is no opposition any more. BDS, if it was ever going to be anything, is certainly not going to be anything now. On US campuses freedom of speech to fight Israel will be curtailed severely and political protest + dissent in the US in general is going to be under fire. I’m not telling you any of this because I think it’s good. I just think you guys and Electronic Intifada are still in the denial stage. If you want to fight you need to know that this is the most dangerous moment for your movement since 1967.