The two state solution died 12 years ago. Most Israelis understood that very quickly. The non-skeptics became skeptics there.
Gradually, people everywhere are doing the math and realizing the two state solution is not something worth investing their own time or resources in. What makes Beinart et al so glaringly irrelevant is that they seem to be only piecing this together now and still trying to figure out what it means, which makes you wonder why they were paid to opine in the first place.
What he sees as ‘American Jewry losing control of the narrative for the first time’ is simply people realizing that the Oslo era two state solution is a pie in the sky dream in the Middle East of the 2010s. But of course, Beinart has proven himself to be such a genius in recent years, that he’s gotta be correct this time, right? Right?
If current trends continue, and as a result of the US’ Mideast debacle since the Iraq invasion, Americans choose to extricate themselves from the area rather than get more involved, this is not going to affect Israel the way you think it is.
Americans won’t cool their interest in Israel and extricate themselves from the Middle East in general only to focus more energy on creating a Palestinian state. We saw how far from the mark the rhetoric about nation-building in Iraq was. Other than a few fringe people, nobody wants to invest real American time and money into manufacturing a Palestinian state, or into the preposterous notion of forcing Israelis to become one nation with the West Bank and Gaza.
I realize at this site you live and die by which way the gas from Ariel Sharon’s tuchus blows, and can manufacture a month’s worth of posts about each such emittance and how it changes everything, but the big picture is this:
People are losing interest in the high ideals of the 1990s regarding the Middle East. America overextended itself in the region in the 2000s, and we’re eager to draw back. In a region known for glacial pace of change, the events of the so-called Arab Spring are changing everything. The idea that the IP conflict is still somehow the lynchpin onto which the entire M.E. geopolitics hinges is preposterous at this point. At this pace, Beinart might actually figure that out by 2016.
Israel is doing fine. I’m surprised no one seems to be stating this more explicitly, but the net result of the last 10 years is that Israel has extricated itself from Gaza, and delineated a separation between itself and most of the West Bank. If anyone remembers the 80s (I realize that was 20 years before Phil Weiss became aware of Israel), the rightwing Israeli position was that Israel would never cede any claim to any territory, including Gaza. Part of that ideology meant no walls, fences, or borders between the West Bank and Israel.
Israel has effectively tightened its position, given itself more defendable borders, and set itself up well to weather the next round of change in the Middle East. When we come out the other end, there might not even be a Kingdom of Jordan anymore, and yet the two-state solution fools are still talking about Gaza and the West Bank as one viable entity. No wonder even dunces like Beinart are finally figuring it out.
With regime change occurring all over the Middle East, a volatile situation in Egypt, and a sectarian bloodbath in Syria that makes Lebanon look like a beacon of safety and stability, the people on this website will still be fixating on sniffing intently to see which way Ariel Sharon’s wind blows, and geniuses like Peter Beinart will keep publishing their irrelevancies as long as someone will publish them.