Here's a startling post by John Mearsheimer saying that there is now a Palestinian majority in historical Palestine due to "reverse aliyah:"
The second trend is the large number of Israelis who have emigrated
to North America and Europe, and are unlikely to return home. According
to most estimates, there are roughly 5.3 million Israeli Jews and 5.2
million Palestinians living in Greater Israel. There are also about
300,000 individuals living in Israel who the Central Bureau of
Statistics defines as "others." Most are family members of Jewish
immigrants or individuals who have Jewish ancestors, but not a Jewish
mother, and therefore are not categorized as Jews by the Israeli
government. If one counts these "others" as Jews, then there are 5.6
million Israeli Jews, not 5.3 million. Let's do that, which means that
there are 5.6 million Israeli Jews and 5.2 million Palestinians.
However, not all of those Jews live in Israel anymore. It is difficult
to get firm numbers on how many Israelis live abroad, because the
government stopped publishing those numbers in the early 1970s. Based
on various articles on the subject
and conversations I had when I was in Israel this past June, it seems
safe to assume that at least 750,000 Israelis live outside its borders.
This means that there are now fewer Jews than Palestinians living in
Greater Israel, even if you count the 300,000 "others" as Jews.
Furthermore, there is considerable evidence that a substantial
number of Israeli Jews would like to leave Israel if they could. In an
article that just appeared in the National Interest, John Mueller and
Ian Lustick report
that "a recent survey indicates that only 69 percent of Jewish Israelis
say they want to stay in the country, and a 2007 poll finds that
one-quarter of Israelis are considering leaving, including almost half
of all young
So who lost Israel? Geography lost Israel. The west is safe for Jews, and western-oriented Jews would prefer to live in the west than in a state that is 500 miles east of Istanbul.
