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Abbas declares end to agreements with Israel, US

Analysts are doubtful Abbas statement will amount to much change on the ground

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas declared late Tuesday night an end to “all agreements and understandings” with Israel and the United States, and that his government would be “handing over responsibility of the occupied territories back to Israel.”

In an emergency meeting with Palestinian leadership, Abbas said: “the Palestine Liberation Organization and the State of Palestine are absolved, as of today of all the agreements and understandings with the American and Israeli governments and of all the obligations based on these understandings and agreements, including the security ones.”

He went on to say that as an occupying power, Israel should “shoulder all the responsibilities and obligations” of  “protecting the civilian population and their property” in accordance with international humanitarian law and the Fourth Geneva Convention. 

Abbas said his decision was made in response to Israeli and U.S. efforts to move forward with annexation, which the newly formed Israeli government has said can happen as early as July. By moving forward with annexation plans, he said, Israel has “annulled the Oslo agreement.”

While Abbas’ statements have made the front page of Israeli, Palestinian, and international news websites, one major question remains: will this time be any different?

Security coordination

Tuesday’s declaration comes after years of empty threats by the leader of the Palestinian Authority (PA) to end agreements with Israel in protest of its policies in the occupied territories. 

Just last year, Abbas claimed he ended security coordination with Israel over its demolition campaign in Sur Bahir, though no changes to the controversial policy were made in reality following his announcement. 

Security coordination with Israel has been a point of contention within Palestinian society for years, mostly due to the role the policy plays in Israel arrest raids inside PA-controlled territory in the West Bank.

But security coordination affects much more than Israeli arrest raids. Even the most mundane things, like movement of Palestinian officials e between Israeli-controlled areas of the West Bank must be coordinated in advance with local authorities. 

For example, when Abbas wants to leave his presidential palace in Ramallah to meet foreign diplomats in Bethlehem, his security must coordinate his passage with Israeli authorities in order to travel smoothly through a number of Israeli military checkpoints along the way. 

The end of the Palestinian Authority?

Another major question surrounds the status of the Oslo Accords. If, in Abbas’ words, the Oslo agreement has been nullified, in reality, it would mean dissolving the Palestinian Authority and all its institutions, which were born out of the accords. 

The likelihood of the PA to willingly break down its government, forfeit its power, and lay off the thousands of people who rely on government jobs, is next to impossible. 

“The reaction has largely been the same, whether on the Palestinian street or in diplomatic circles,” Dawoud Yousef, a political analyst formerly based in Ramallah told Mondoweiss. “It’s largely a collective sigh.”

“Not even the most diehard Abbas loyalists can think that this declaration has any consequence 17 years into a 5 year agreement,” Yousef said, referring to the Oslo Accords, which were meant to serve as an interim agreement pending a final solution to the conflict. 

At the end of the day, the PA is more concerned with “the maintenance of control than any liberatory pursuit,” Yousef said, adding that “if the suffering and destruction of your own people isn’t enough to end your subservience to the occupier, I am not sure what is.”

Abbas’ words are not only meaningless to most Palestinians and diplomats, Yousef noted, but to Israel as well. When asked if he believe Abbas’ declaration would have any effect on Israel’s annexation plans, Yousef said “Israel has never bent to Palestinian political pressure.”

“One thing should be clear at this juncture: the diplomatic path, which has been the cornerstone of Abbas’ vision and legacy, has been a spectacular failure,” Yousef continued. “How is one to pursue a diplomatic path with an entity whose core strategic goal is the negation of your existence?”

“If the PA really cared about liberation instead of its own privilege, it would have dissolved itself under Arafat. Realistically, one cannot end an agreement that has already expired or been disregarded by one of the parties.”

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The extent to which the PA continues to function will depend on the reaction of external funders, the most important of which is the European Union. It will also depend on whether Israel allows funds to get through. The Israeli officials who actually run the occupation know that they need the PA to help shoulder the burden in cooperation with Israel, so perhaps they will put pressure on the politicians to make a few concessions — in particular, to defer if not abandon annexation plans. Abbas may indeed have taken this step in the hope of extracting such concessions. But it is doubtful whether any concessions that may be forthcoming will be sufficient to justify a resumption of PA cooperation. The EU is still committed to the Oslo framework, so they may put pressure on both sides to reach an agreement to ‘resuscitate the dying horse’, using their money as leverage. Perhaps other external actors (Russia? China?) will back the EU in such an effort. They want to avoid the difficult choices that come with abandoning the two-state fiction and recognizing the one-state reality, i.e., they do not want to line up with the US and the extreme-right Israeli politicians, nor do they want to take a clear stance against Israel and for Palestinian rights. Clearly something has to give. But what?

Abbas is 84 and probably in the not too distant future he will be ending all agreements with the U.S., Israel and the rest of the universe.

A more interesting question than what Abbas is up to is this: just how long will it take for everyone to realize that there’s only one state between Jordan and the Mediterranean and half the subjects of this state have essentially no rights, while half do?

I just received the following article from Canada. It is a biting and accurate criticism of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s constant pandering to the pro-Israel lobby and his government’s failure to support the long suffering Palestinians despite the fact that poll after poll has shown they have the support of the majority of Canadians.

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/05/19/no-argue-noam-chomsky-roger-waters-monia-mazigh-and-100-others-canada-does-not

“No—Argue Noam Chomsky, Roger Waters, Monia Mazigh, and 100+ Others—Canada Does Not Deserve UN Security Council Seat”

“‘Despite its peaceful reputation, Canada is not acting as a benevolent player on the international stage,’ warns open letter from activists, artists, and academics.” By Jon Queally, Common Dreams, May 19/20

EXCERPT: “As Canada vies for a temporary seat on the United Nations Security Council an open letter published Tuesday argues the Ottawa government—despite a more rosy reputation compared to its powerful U.S. neighbor—should be seen for what it more accurately is: a powerful international force in its own right that continues to play a negative role on the world stage when it comes to militarism and endless war, human rights abuses, environmental degradation both at home and abroad, and its outsized role in exacerbating the climate crisis.

“‘The international community should not reward bad behaviour,’ the signatories argue in the letter and an adjoining online petition.

“The signers of the letter—who include Harsha Walia, Noam Chomsky, Rogers Waters, Bianca Mugyenyi, Kanahus Manuel, Richard Falk, and over one hundred others—highlight Canada’s woeful silence and disregard when it comes to the abuse of the Palestinian people and the Israeli government’s most recent effort to annex the Occupied Territories of the West Bank.” (cont’d)